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Utility-Scale Solar PV Project Financial Model - Sculpted Debt Sizing on an Empirically Corrected P50, ITC + MACRS & DSCR (Excel + Google Sheets)

Utility-Scale Solar PV Project Financial Model - Sculpted Debt Sizing on an Empirically Corrected P50, ITC + MACRS & DSCR (Excel + Google Sheets)

Il debito del solare contracted si dimensiona sul P50 a 1,25-1,30x di DSCR — non sul P90 (fonte: panel *Cost of Capital* 2024/2025/2026, Norton Rose Fulbright). Ma il P50 non è la mediana: il parco USA produce 8,60% sotto il proprio P50, più del 6,92% che la banca toglie nel suo scenario avverso. Sullo stesso prestito: 1,30x as sized → 1,1335x stress → 1,0931x mediana reale, sotto il lock-up di 1,20x. In dollari: over-lend $6.391.818 (13,0%).

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